Olympic Charleroi vs Standard Liège II: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 1Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Neuville, Charleroi
The Footlab model makes Olympic Charleroi the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Standard Liège II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympic Charleroi vs Standard Liège II?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Olympic Charleroi (1,660) and Standard Liège II (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic Charleroi have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Standard Liège II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 0-5 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Liège(away) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 20, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Union Namur(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Olympic Charleroi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Standard Liège II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | Standard Liège II 1-3 Olympic Charleroi | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Olympic Charleroi 3-1 Standard Liège II | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liège II vs Olympic Charleroi on Nov 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Olympic Charleroi score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Standard Liège II score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic Charleroi | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Standard Liège II | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Standard Liège II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympic Charleroi vs Standard Liège II?
- The Footlab model makes Olympic Charleroi the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Standard Liège II.
- Where and when is Olympic Charleroi vs Standard Liège II played?
- Olympic Charleroi vs Standard Liège II is played on August 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Neuville, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.