Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 1Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Terrain de Habay-la-Neuve, Habay-la-Neuve
The Footlab model makes Habay-la-Neuve the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for RWDM. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Habay-la-Neuve (1,858) and RWDM (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Habay-la-Neuve have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; RWDM have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 1-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tubize(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Meux(home) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Habay-la-Neuve score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; RWDM score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Habay-la-Neuve | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| RWDM | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Habay-la-Neuve | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
- The Footlab model makes Habay-la-Neuve the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for RWDM.
- Where and when is Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM played?
- Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM is played on August 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Terrain de Habay-la-Neuve, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.