Olympic Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise II: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Neuville, Charleroi
The Footlab model makes Union Saint-Gilloise II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Olympic Charleroi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympic Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise II?
Union Saint-Gilloise II starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic Charleroi have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Union Saint-Gilloise II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 0-5 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Liège(away) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 20, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Standard Liège II(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union Namur(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Olympic Charleroi win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Union Saint-Gilloise II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Union Saint-Gilloise II 0-2 Olympic Charleroi | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Olympic Charleroi 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise II | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Olympic Charleroi on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Olympic Charleroi score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union Saint-Gilloise II score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic Charleroi | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Union Saint-Gilloise II | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympic Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise II?
- The Footlab model makes Union Saint-Gilloise II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Olympic Charleroi.
- Where and when is Olympic Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise II played?
- Olympic Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise II is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Neuville, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.