Rochefort vs Onhaye: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parc des Roches, Rochefort
The Footlab model makes Onhaye the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Rochefort. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochefort vs Onhaye?
Onhaye starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,953 vs 1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochefort have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Onhaye have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Tubize(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 3-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Habay-la-Neuve(home) | 4-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tempo Overijse(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tilffois(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Entité Manageoise(home) | 4-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Braine(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 4, 2026 | La Calamine(home) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Rochefort win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Onhaye win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2022 | Rochefort 1-2 Onhaye | Third Amateur Division - ACFF B |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Onhaye 5-1 Rochefort | Third Amateur Division - ACFF B |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Onhaye 4-0 Rochefort | Third Amateur Division - ACFF B |
How many goals should we expect?
Rochefort score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Onhaye score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochefort | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Onhaye | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rochefort | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochefort vs Onhaye?
- The Footlab model makes Onhaye the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Rochefort.
- Where and when is Rochefort vs Onhaye played?
- Rochefort vs Onhaye is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Parc des Roches, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.