Olympic vs IFK Goteborg: prediction and stats
Svenska CupenFinalKick-off on September 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Lindängens IP, Malmö
The Footlab model makes IFK Goteborg the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Olympic. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympic vs IFK Goteborg?
IFK Goteborg starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,804 vs 1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; IFK Goteborg have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tvååker(home) | 3-4 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Malmo(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jonkopings Sodra(away) | 0-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skövde AIK(home) | 3-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Degerfors IF(away) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gent(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 3-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gent(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
How many goals should we expect?
Olympic score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Goteborg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| IFK Goteborg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IFK Goteborg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympic vs IFK Goteborg?
- The Footlab model makes IFK Goteborg the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Olympic.
- Where and when is Olympic vs IFK Goteborg played?
- Olympic vs IFK Goteborg is played on September 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Lindängens IP, in the Svenska Cupen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.