Oman vs Tajikistan: prediction and stats
King's CupSemi-finalsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Sultan Qaboos Sport Complex, Muscat
The Footlab AI model makes Oman the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Tajikistan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oman wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oman vs Tajikistan?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Oman (1,599) and Tajikistan (1,511).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oman vs Tajikistan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oman
4-4-2- 7Issam Al Sabhi
- 10Jameel Al Yahmadi
- 23Harib Al Saadi
- 12Abdullah Fawaz
- 21S. Al Marzouq
- 15H. Al Shahri
- 14Ahmed Al Kaabi
- 5M. Al Shaqsy
- 16K. Al Braiki
- 13Amjad Al Harthi
- 1Ibrahim Al Mukhaini
Tajikistan
4-1-4-1- 14S. Boboev
- 7P. Umarbayev
- 15S. Mabatshoev
- 8A. Dzhuraboev
- 10A. Dzhalilov
- 17E. Panjshanbe
- 3T. Islomov
- 6V. Khanonov
- 20A. Karomatullozoda
- 2Z. Dzhuraboev
- 1R. Yatimov
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 06:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oman have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tajikistan have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | United Arab Emirates(away) | 0-1 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Kuwait(home) | 3-1 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 0-3 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Iraq(away) | 1-1 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Mozambique(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | China(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Palestine(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Azerbaijan(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2026 | India(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | India(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Oman wins, 1 draw, 0 Tajikistan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2023 | Oman 1-1 Tajikistan | CAFA Nations Cup |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Oman 1-0 Tajikistan | Friendlies |
| Dec 13, 2018 | Oman 2-1 Tajikistan | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Oman score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tajikistan score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oman | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tajikistan | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Oman vs Tajikistan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oman vs Tajikistan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oman the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Tajikistan.
- Where and when is Oman vs Tajikistan played?
- Oman vs Tajikistan is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Sultan Qaboos Sport Complex, in the King's Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.