Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Apollon Limassol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?
Omonia Nicosia starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,955).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia Nicosia have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Apollon Limassol have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dila(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Omonia Nicosia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Apollon Limassol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 5-2 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 2-3 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 1-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 2-0 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| May 4, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Apollon Limassol 3-1 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia Nicosia score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Limassol score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Apollon Limassol | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Omonia Nicosia sit 1st in 1. Division (87 points from 36 matches) and Apollon Limassol sit 3rd (67 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 36 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 88 | 24 | 87 |
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 67 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?
- The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Apollon Limassol.
- Where and when is Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol played?
- Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.