AEK Larnaca vs Pafos: result 0-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
Full time
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?
Pafos won 0-1 on September 13, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 62′V. DragomirPafos
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a AEK Larnaca win at 39%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for AEK Larnaca vs Pafos
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1- 19A. Trică
- 9Đ. Ivanović
- 20J. Repas
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 6I. Pankov
- 17K. Pileas
- 3M. van der Hoorn
- 15H. Miličević
- 21Miramón
- 92A. Paleari
Pafos
3-4-2-1- 18Lelê
- 8Domingos Quina
- 13N. Moumi Ngamaleu
- 12K. Sema
- 88Pêpê Rodrigues
- 26I. Šunjić
- 7Bruno Felipe
- 14N. Ioannou
- 4David Luiz
- 5David Goldar
- 99R. Majecki
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Pafos have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AEK Larnaca win, 4 draws, 1 Pafos win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 2-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pafos 1-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pafos 1-2 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Pafos 1-1 AEK Larnaca | Super Cup |
| Oct 5, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 2-4 Pafos | 1. Division |
| May 24, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 0-0 Pafos | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pafos score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Pafos | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEK Larnaca sit 1st in 1. Division (12 points from 5 matches) and Pafos sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Pafos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
A question about AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy