Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for St. Truiden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Omonia Nicosia (2,079) and St. Truiden (2,027).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia Nicosia have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; St. Truiden have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Omonia Nicosia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 St. Truiden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | St. Truiden 1-0 Omonia Nicosia | UEFA Europa League |
Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia on Aug 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia Nicosia score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for St. Truiden.
- Where and when is Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden played?
- Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden is played on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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