Charleroi vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for St. Truiden. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charleroi wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charleroi vs St. Truiden?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Charleroi (2,050) and St. Truiden (2,032).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Charleroi vs St. Truiden
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Charleroi
4-2-3-1- 21A. Scheidler
- 18Y. Khalifi
- 6A. Boukamir
- 14P. Pflücke
- 8J. Romsaas
- 20F. Situmona Mbemba
- 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
- 24M. Nzita
- 95C. Keita
- 4A. Ousou
- 30M. Koné
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 9S. Baždar
- 8A. Sissako
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 71R. Araki
- 14R. Merlen
- 38K. Matsuzawa
- 26V. Musliu
- 60R. Vanwesemael
- 3T. Hata
- 5S. Taniguchi
- 16L. Kokubo
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charleroi have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; St. Truiden have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 4-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Charleroi wins, 2 draws, 1 St. Truiden win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | St. Truiden 0-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Charleroi 1-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Charleroi 2-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | St. Truiden 1-4 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | St. Truiden 1-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Charleroi 1-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs Charleroi on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charleroi score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charleroi sit 4th in Jupiler Pro League (18 points from 7 matches) and St. Truiden sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
| 11 | St. Truiden | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Charleroi vs St. Truiden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charleroi vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for St. Truiden.
- Where and when is Charleroi vs St. Truiden played?
- Charleroi vs St. Truiden is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.