Where and when is One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity played?

One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity is played on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Covenant Health Park, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Covenant Health Park, Knoxville, Tennessee

One Knoxville

Spokane Velocity

The Footlab model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Spokane Velocity. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate One Knoxville (1,792) and Spokane Velocity (1,753).

One Knoxville win57 %

Draw24 %

Spokane Velocity win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, One Knoxville have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Spokane Velocity have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

One Knoxville
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Boise(home)	2-2	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Greenville Triumph(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	1-3	USL League One

Spokane Velocity
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Corpus Christi(home)	2-3	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Colorado Springs(home)	1-1	USL League One Cup
Jul 26, 2026	Fort Wayne(home)	3-1	USL League One
Jul 23, 2026	Charlotte Independence(home)	3-0	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 One Knoxville win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Spokane Velocity win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 21, 2026	Spokane Velocity 0-4 One Knoxville	USL League One
Nov 16, 2025	One Knoxville 2-0 Spokane Velocity	USL League One
Aug 30, 2025	One Knoxville 1-0 Spokane Velocity	USL League One
Mar 16, 2025	Spokane Velocity 2-2 One Knoxville	USL League One
Oct 27, 2024	Spokane Velocity 0-0 One Knoxville	USL League One
Aug 23, 2024	One Knoxville 1-1 Spokane Velocity	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville on Jun 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

One Knoxville score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spokane Velocity score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
One Knoxville	1.7	1.3	2	12/15	9/15
Spokane Velocity	1.5	1.3	3	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

One Knoxville sit 4th in USL League One (39 points from 22 matches) and Spokane Velocity sit 5th (35 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	One Knoxville	22	11	6	5	37	25	39
5	Spokane Velocity	20	11	2	7	29	26	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?: The Footlab model makes One Knoxville the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Spokane Velocity.
Where and when is One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity played?: One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity is played on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Covenant Health Park, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.