Opava vs Baník Ostrava II: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion v Městských sadech, Opava
The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava II the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Opava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Opava vs Baník Ostrava II?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Opava (1,795) and Baník Ostrava II (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Opava have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Baník Ostrava II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Třinec(home) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Táborsko(away) | 0-3 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Frýdlant(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kladno(home) | 1-1 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Příbram(away) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(away) | 4-1 | FNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Táborsko(home) | 1-2 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kladno(away) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vlašim(home) | 2-2 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Opava win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Baník Ostrava II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Baník Ostrava II 2-0 Opava | FNL |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Opava 1-0 Baník Ostrava II | FNL |
| May 12, 2025 | Baník Ostrava II 0-0 Opava | FNL |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Opava 0-0 Baník Ostrava II | FNL |
Last archived meeting: Baník Ostrava II vs Opava on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Opava score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Ostrava II score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opava | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Baník Ostrava II | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Opava sit 7th in FNL (44 points from 30 matches) and Baník Ostrava II sit 5th (47 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baník Ostrava II | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 47 |
| 7 | Opava | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 31 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Opava vs Baník Ostrava II?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava II the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Opava.
- Where and when is Opava vs Baník Ostrava II played?
- Opava vs Baník Ostrava II is played on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion v Městských sadech, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.