Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Městský stadion, Ústí nad Labem
The Footlab AI model makes Karviná the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ústí nad Labem. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karviná wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Ústí nad Labem (1,944) and Karviná (1,981).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ústí nad Labem
4-3-3- 9A. Do Marcolino
- 23F. Idumbo-Muzambo
- 10D. Černý
- 14P. Moulis
- 19P. Goj
- 15O. Ullman
- 3D. Březina
- 27N. Piralić
- 4Lukas Mraz
- 95Andrii Rudenkyi
- 91T. Holý
Karviná
4-3-3- 7J. Selnar
- 8A. Kronus
- 31O. Condé
- 6R. Breite
- 11A. Čičovský
- 18Štěpán Míšek
- 25J. Fleišman
- 32S. Yakubu
- 19N. Milić
- 21A. Markovic
- 30J. Lapeš
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ústí nad Labem have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Karviná have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Prostějov(away) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Opava(home) | 2-3 | FNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Baník Ostrava II(away) | 2-0 | FNL |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 1-2 | FNL |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(home) | 1-1 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Dukla Praha(home) | 3-0 | FNL |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Táborsko(away) | 1-0 | FNL |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Hanácká(home) | 3-2 | FNL |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Třinec(away) | 2-3 | FNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Ústí nad Labem score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Karviná score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Labem | 1.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Karviná | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 48 |
A question about Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karviná the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ústí nad Labem.
- Where and when is Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná played?
- Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.