Match

Operario Ferroviario vs Corumbaense: prediction and stats

Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 6Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Jacques da Luz, Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul

Operario FerroviarioCorumbaense

The Footlab AI model makes Operario Ferroviario the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Corumbaense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Operario Ferroviario wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Operario Ferroviario vs Corumbaense?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Operario Ferroviario (1,551) and Corumbaense (1,459).

48%26%26%
Operario Ferroviario winDrawCorumbaense win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Operario Ferroviario vs Corumbaense

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Operario Ferroviario

4-3-3
  1. 11Roger
  2. 10Robinho
  3. 27A. Manoel
  1. 8Matheus Galdezani
  2. 22Leylon
  3. 5Jonas
  1. 2Gabriel Bitencourt da Silva
  2. 15Titi
  3. 3Jonilson
  4. 16Mateus Petri
  1. 1Lucas

Corumbaense

4-3-3
  1. RRomarinho
  2. IItalo Pica-Pau
  3. LLucas Cassiano de Almeida
  1. GGustavo Henrique Amaral
  2. LLaercio Jose Aguiar Cavalheiro Junior
  3. PPeterson
  1. JJaime Cardoso Pinto da Silva
  2. VVinícius Roberto Conceição da Costa
  3. EElivelton Fabrizio Vicente de Oliveira
  4. RRodrigo Digão
  1. RRenan Matheus de Oliveira Brites

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:19 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Operario Ferroviario have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Corumbaense have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Operario Ferroviario
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Ipatinga(away)1-2Serie D
May 31, 2026CRAC(home)2-0Serie D
May 23, 2026ABECAT Ouvidorense(away)0-2Serie D
May 16, 2026Ivinhema(home)2-0Serie D
May 9, 2026Uberlandia(home)1-2Serie D
Corumbaense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 18, 2026Operario Ferroviario(away)1-2Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 15, 2026Operario Ferroviario(home)1-2Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 11, 2026Dourados Atlético(home)2-0Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 8, 2026Dourados Atlético(away)1-1Sul-Matogrossense
Mar 1, 2026Costa Rica (away)2-0Sul-Matogrossense

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Operario Ferroviario wins, 1 draw, 0 Corumbaense wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 18, 2026Operario Ferroviario 2-1 CorumbaenseSul-Matogrossense
Mar 15, 2026Corumbaense 1-2 Operario FerroviarioSul-Matogrossense
Jan 24, 2026Corumbaense 0-0 Operario FerroviarioSul-Matogrossense
Feb 6, 2025Operario Ferroviario 2-1 CorumbaenseSul-Matogrossense
Mar 5, 2020Operario Ferroviario 1-0 CorumbaenseSul-Matogrossense

Last archived meeting: Operario Ferroviario vs Corumbaense on Mar 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Operario Ferroviario score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Corumbaense score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Operario Ferroviario1.21.539/157/15
Corumbaense1.21.159/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Operario Ferroviario sit 2nd in Sul-Matogrossense (17 points from 9 matches) and Corumbaense sit 3rd (13 points from 9 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Operario Ferroviario945014517
3Corumbaense934210713

A question about Operario Ferroviario vs Corumbaense?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Operario Ferroviario vs Corumbaense?
The Footlab AI model makes Operario Ferroviario the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Corumbaense.
Where and when is Operario Ferroviario vs Corumbaense played?
Operario Ferroviario vs Corumbaense is played on February 14, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Estadual Jacques da Luz, in the Sul-Matogrossense.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Operario Ferroviario and Corumbaense