Ordabasy vs Kaisar: prediction and stats
CupFinalKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Astana Arena, Astana
The Footlab AI model makes Ordabasy the favourite at 75%, against 17% for a draw and 8% for Kaisar. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ordabasy vs Kaisar?
Ordabasy starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,469).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ordabasy vs Kaisar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ordabasy
3-4-1-2- 9Everton
- 28B. Johnsen
- 77D. Abagna
- 22S. Astanov
- 44T. Keita
- 15Z. Amir
- 16M. Căpățînă
- 25S. Maliy
- 55A. Amanović
- 5N. Antić
- 1B. Shaizada
Kaisar
4-4-2- 11V. Moses
- 10Agostinho Magalhães
- 42Miqueias
- 13N. Zhaksylyk
- 24N. Cuckić
- 12S. Sovet
- 5A. Kenesbek
- 93S. Askarov
- 43Klaidher
- 15N. Idrisov
- 1N. Salaydin
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ordabasy have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Kaisar have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Irtysh(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zhenys(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aktobe(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kaisar(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Atyrau(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Zhenys(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Astana(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zhetysu(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ordabasy(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ordabasy wins, 1 draw, 1 Kaisar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kaisar 1-4 Ordabasy | Premier League |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Ordabasy 2-0 Kaisar | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Kaisar 1-1 Ordabasy | Premier League |
| May 11, 2025 | Ordabasy 5-0 Kaisar | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Kaisar 2-1 Ordabasy | Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Ordabasy 2-1 Kaisar | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ordabasy score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kaisar score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordabasy | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Kaisar | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ordabasy vs Kaisar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ordabasy vs Kaisar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ordabasy the favourite at 75%, against 17% for a draw and 8% for Kaisar.
- Where and when is Ordabasy vs Kaisar played?
- Ordabasy vs Kaisar is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Astana Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.