Orel vs Arsenal Tula II: result 2-1 and analysis
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 6Kick-off on May 12, 2024 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Central'nyj im. V.I. Lenina, Oryol (Orel)
Full time
What was the result of Orel vs Arsenal Tula II?
Orel won 2-1 on May 12, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 7′A. ArutyunovArsenal Tula II
- 86′Evgeni RagulkinOrel
- 90′D. MerkulovOrel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Orel have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Arsenal Tula II have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Zenit Penza(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | FK Spartak Tambov(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Kompozit(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Khimki II(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Dinamo Vladivostok(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Salyut-Belgorod(home) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Ryazan(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Kolomna(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Sakhalin(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Orel score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 5; Arsenal Tula II score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orel | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Arsenal Tula II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orel sit 11th in Second League - Group 3 (23 points from 20 matches) and Arsenal Tula II sit 14th (13 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Orel | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 23 |
| 14 | Arsenal Tula II | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy