Orihuela vs Real Murcia: result 1-4 and analysis
Copa FederacionRound of 16Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, Orihuela
Full time
What was the result of Orihuela vs Real Murcia?
Real Murcia won 1-4 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 16′?Orihuela
- 88′Álvaro GiménezReal Murcia
- 104′Álvaro GiménezReal Murcia
- 109′Álvaro GiménezReal Murcia
- 119′Joel JorqueraReal Murcia
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Real Murcia win at 52%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-4.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orihuela have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Real Murcia have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | San Fernando CD(away) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 2-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 4-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Orihuela wins, 1 draw, 1 Real Murcia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Orihuela 1-1 Real Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Orihuela 1-4 Real Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Orihuela vs Real Murcia on Aug 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Murcia | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Orihuela vs Real Murcia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy