Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, Orihuela
The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Orihuela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ucam Murcia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
Ucam Murcia starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,967 vs 1,848).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Orihuela
Not enough data to predict the Orihuela lineup.
Ucam Murcia
4-3-3- 11Dani Aquino
- 7Alvarito
- 18J. Pontones
- 19Juanma Bravo
- 8U. Urzelay
- 20Alberto Soto
- 6O. Jaiteh
- 2J. Ruiz
- 4Ramirez Javi
- 23M. Sevila
- 1F. Ackermann
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orihuela have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ucam Murcia have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Orihuela win, 2 draws, 1 Ucam Murcia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Ucam Murcia 1-1 Orihuela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Orihuela 0-1 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Ucam Murcia 0-2 Orihuela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Orihuela 1-1 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Ucam Murcia vs Orihuela on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ucam Murcia score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ucam Murcia | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orihuela sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (11 points from 8 matches) and Ucam Murcia sit 1st (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ucam Murcia | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 18 |
| 11 | Orihuela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Orihuela.
- Where and when is Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia played?
- Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.