Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg, GA
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Kaizer Chiefs. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Orlando Pirates starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando Pirates have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Kaizer Chiefs have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 3-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Elche(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Orlando Pirates win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kaizer Chiefs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs 0-3 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| May 10, 2025 | Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 Orlando Pirates | Cup |
| May 3, 2025 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Orlando Pirates 3-2 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orlando Pirates score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orlando Pirates sit 1st in Premier Soccer League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kaizer Chiefs sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Kaizer Chiefs.
- Where and when is Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs played?
- Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Orlando Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.