Orleans vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade de la Source, Orléans
The Footlab model makes Orleans the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Bourg-en-bresse 01. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orleans vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Orleans starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orleans have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bourg-en-bresse 01 have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Orleans win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-3 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Orleans 1-0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-0 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Orleans 1-0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Orleans 1-0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 9, 2022 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 1-1 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Orleans on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orleans score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bourg-en-bresse 01 score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orleans sit 5th in Ligue 3 (6 points from 3 matches) and Bourg-en-bresse 01 sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Orleans | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 14 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orleans vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
- The Footlab model makes Orleans the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Bourg-en-bresse 01.
- Where and when is Orleans vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 played?
- Orleans vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 is played on May 8, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Source, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.