Versailles vs Rouen: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
The Footlab model makes Versailles the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Rouen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Versailles vs Rouen?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Versailles (1,841) and Rouen (1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Versailles have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Rouen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Quevilly(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Orleans(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Versailles win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Rouen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Rouen 1-3 Versailles | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Versailles 1-3 Rouen | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Versailles 1-1 Rouen | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Rouen 0-0 Versailles | Ligue 3 |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Rouen 1-2 Versailles | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Versailles 2-2 Rouen | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Versailles score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rouen score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Versailles | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Rouen | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Versailles sit 7th in Ligue 3 (6 points from 3 matches) and Rouen sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rouen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Versailles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Versailles vs Rouen?
- The Footlab model makes Versailles the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Rouen.
- Where and when is Versailles vs Rouen played?
- Versailles vs Rouen is played on May 8, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Bouin, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.