Osmaniyespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Osmaniye 7 Ocak Stadyumu, Osmaniye
The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Osmaniyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osmaniyespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Osmaniyespor (1,525) and Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osmaniyespor have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 12 Bingölspor(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 4-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Osmaniyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 3-2 Osmaniyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Osmaniyespor 2-0 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 0-2 Osmaniyespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Osmaniyespor 3-1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor on Mar 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osmaniyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osmaniyespor | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osmaniyespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Osmaniyespor.
- Where and when is Osmaniyespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor played?
- Osmaniyespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Osmaniye 7 Ocak Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 20, 2026AdanasporvsKaraköprü Belediyespor
- Sep 20, 2026Ağrı 1970vsYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
- Sep 20, 2026Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporvsKırşehir Belediyespor
- Sep 20, 2026Kırıkkale Büyük AnadoluvsMazıdağı Fosfatspor
- Sep 20, 2026DiyarbekirsporvsTalasgücü Belediyespor
- Sep 20, 2026Silifke BelediyesporvsKaraman FK
- Sep 20, 2026Yozgat Bld BozoksporvsAdana Adaletgucu