Match

Ağrı 1970 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vali Lütfü Yiğenoğlu Stadyumu, Ağrı

Ağrı 1970Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

The Footlab model makes Ağrı 1970 the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ağrı 1970 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?

Ağrı 1970 starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,631 vs 1,521).

Ağrı 1970 win59 %
Draw24 %
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ağrı 1970 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ağrı 1970
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kapadokyaspor(away)3-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Kilis Belediyespor(away)4-23. Lig - Group 2
Mar 28, 2026Karaköprü Belediyespor(away)1-23. Lig - Group 2
Mar 24, 2026Silifke Belediyespor(home)3-13. Lig - Group 2
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)0-62. Lig
Jan 24, 2026Bursaspor(away)0-32. Lig
Jan 17, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)1-82. Lig
Dec 22, 2025Kırklarelispor(away)1-12. Lig
Dec 17, 2025Isparta 32 Spor(home)3-52. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ağrı 1970 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 22, 2023Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 1-0 Ağrı 19703. Lig - Group 1
Sep 11, 2022Ağrı 1970 1-0 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu3. Lig - Group 1
Jan 16, 2022Ağrı 1970 1-2 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu3. Lig - Group 3
Sep 5, 2021Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3-0 Ağrı 19703. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Ağrı 1970 on Jan 22, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Ağrı 1970 score 3.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ağrı 19703.01.3211/1512/15
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu1.43.036/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ağrı 1970 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
The Footlab model makes Ağrı 1970 the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
Where and when is Ağrı 1970 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?
Ağrı 1970 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vali Lütfü Yiğenoğlu Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ağrı 1970 and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

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