Ağrı 1970 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vali Lütfü Yiğenoğlu Stadyumu, Ağrı
The Footlab model makes Ağrı 1970 the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ağrı 1970 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
Ağrı 1970 starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,631 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ağrı 1970 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(away) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Karaköprü Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Kırklarelispor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 3-5 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ağrı 1970 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 1-0 Ağrı 1970 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Ağrı 1970 1-0 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Ağrı 1970 1-2 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3-0 Ağrı 1970 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Ağrı 1970 on Jan 22, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ağrı 1970 score 3.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ağrı 1970 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ağrı 1970 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
- The Footlab model makes Ağrı 1970 the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
- Where and when is Ağrı 1970 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?
- Ağrı 1970 vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vali Lütfü Yiğenoğlu Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 20, 2026AdanasporvsKaraköprü Belediyespor
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- Sep 20, 2026OsmaniyesporvsYeşilyurt Belediyespor
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