Österlen vs IFK Trelleborg: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 21Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Skillinge Idrottsplats, Simrishamn
The Footlab model makes IFK Trelleborg the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Österlen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Österlen vs IFK Trelleborg?
IFK Trelleborg starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,428).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Österlen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; IFK Trelleborg have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Räppe(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oskarshamns AIK(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sölvesborg(home) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Linero(away) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Karlskrona(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lilla Torg(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nosaby(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlshamn(away) | 5-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Växjö Norra(home) | 4-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Berga(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Österlen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 IFK Trelleborg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg 1-1 Österlen | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Österlen 5-1 IFK Trelleborg | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| May 18, 2025 | IFK Trelleborg 1-3 Österlen | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Österlen 2-0 IFK Trelleborg | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 1, 2024 | IFK Trelleborg 7-1 Österlen | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Oct 7, 2023 | IFK Trelleborg 4-4 Österlen | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: IFK Trelleborg vs Österlen on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Österlen score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Trelleborg score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Österlen | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| IFK Trelleborg | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Österlen sit 8th in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (18 points from 13 matches) and IFK Trelleborg sit 3rd (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IFK Trelleborg | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | IFK Trelleborg | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 35 |
| 8 | Österlen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| 8 | Österlen | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Österlen vs IFK Trelleborg?
- The Footlab model makes IFK Trelleborg the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Österlen.
- Where and when is Österlen vs IFK Trelleborg played?
- Österlen vs IFK Trelleborg is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Skillinge Idrottsplats, in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.