Ostia Mare vs Città di Castello: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 6Kick-off on October 9, 2022 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Anco Marzio, Lido di Ostia
Full time
What was the result of Ostia Mare vs Città di Castello?
Città di Castello won 1-3 on October 9, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 28′Riccardo DoratiottoCittà di Castello
- 49′?Città di Castello
- 76′?Ostia Mare
- 85′Elio CalderiniCittà di Castello
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostia Mare have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Città di Castello have 2, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2022 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Flaminia(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Orvietana Calcio(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Sangiovannese(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2022 | Ponsacco(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Montespaccato(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Grosseto(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Seravezza(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostia Mare score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Città di Castello score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostia Mare | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Città di Castello | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy