Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Géants, Ath
The Footlab model makes Ostiches the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Stade Mouscronnois. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Ostiches (1,849) and Stade Mouscronnois (1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostiches have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Stade Mouscronnois have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aywaille(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Braine(away) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Richelle United(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Raeren-Eynatten(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Stade Verviers(home) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Marke(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Péruwelz(home) | 6-1 | Provincial - Hainaut |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Rapid Symphorinois(away) | 3-1 | Provincial - Hainaut |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostiches score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Mouscronnois score 3.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostiches | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Stade Mouscronnois | 3.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostiches sit 5th in Second Amateur Division - ACFF (3 points from 1 matches) and Stade Mouscronnois sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ostiches | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Mouscronnois | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois?
- The Footlab model makes Ostiches the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Stade Mouscronnois.
- Where and when is Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois played?
- Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois is played on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Géants, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.