Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Géants, Ath
The Footlab AI model makes Stade Mouscronnois the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ostiches. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stade Mouscronnois wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Ostiches (1,887) and Stade Mouscronnois (1,921).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ostiches
Not enough data to predict the Ostiches lineup.
Stade Mouscronnois
Not enough data to predict the Stade Mouscronnois lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostiches have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Stade Mouscronnois have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Braine(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(home) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stade Verviers(away) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Huy(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Richelle United(away) | 1-4 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ganshoren(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Entité Manageoise(home) | 3-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Aywaille(away) | 4-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Sep 19, 2026 | La Calamine(home) | 3-4 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Acren-Lessines(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostiches score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Mouscronnois score 2.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostiches | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Stade Mouscronnois | 2.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostiches sit 14th in Second Amateur Division - ACFF (10 points from 8 matches) and Stade Mouscronnois sit 4th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 14 |
| 14 | Ostiches | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stade Mouscronnois the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ostiches.
- Where and when is Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois played?
- Ostiches vs Stade Mouscronnois is played on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Géants, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.