Union Namur vs Aywaille: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Terrain Jambes ADEPS, Jambes
The Footlab model makes Aywaille the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Union Namur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Namur vs Aywaille?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Union Namur (1,633) and Aywaille (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Namur have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Aywaille have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ganshoren(home) | 2-5 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| May 10, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ostiches(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Liège(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Richelle United(away) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Acren-Lessines(home) | 3-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
How many goals should we expect?
Union Namur score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aywaille score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Namur | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Aywaille | 1.1 | 2.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Namur sit 12th in Second Amateur Division - ACFF (0 points from 1 matches) and Aywaille sit 8th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aywaille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Union Namur | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Namur vs Aywaille?
- The Footlab model makes Aywaille the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Union Namur.
- Where and when is Union Namur vs Aywaille played?
- Union Namur vs Aywaille is played on December 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Terrain Jambes ADEPS, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.