Ostrov vs Chomutov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Ostrov, Ostrov
The Footlab model makes Chomutov the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Ostrov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostrov vs Chomutov?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Ostrov (1,646) and Chomutov (1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostrov have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Chomutov have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Klasterec n. Oh.(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II(home) | 5-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid Psáry(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ostrov win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Chomutov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Ostrov 1-0 Chomutov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Chomutov 1-1 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 12, 2024 | Ostrov 3-3 Chomutov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Chomutov 3-0 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 17, 2022 | Chomutov 2-3 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Sep 28, 2021 | Ostrov 1-1 Chomutov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostrov score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chomutov score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrov | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chomutov | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostrov sit 16th in 4. liga - Divizie B (0 points from 2 matches) and Chomutov sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chomutov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 16 | Ostrov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostrov vs Chomutov?
- The Footlab model makes Chomutov the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Ostrov.
- Where and when is Ostrov vs Chomutov played?
- Ostrov vs Chomutov is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Ostrov, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.