Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Oţelul, Galaţi
The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Oţelul (1,714) and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (1,766).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oţelul have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Csikszereda(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FCSB(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oţelul win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0-3 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Oţelul 0-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Cupa României |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Oţelul 2-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Oţelul 2-3 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Aug 7, 2023 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-1 Oţelul | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Oţelul on Apr 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oţelul sit 9th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oţelul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
- The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
- Where and when is Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe played?
- Oţelul vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Oţelul, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.