Oţelul vs Uta Arad: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Oţelul, Galaţi
The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Uta Arad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oţelul vs Uta Arad?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Oţelul (1,702) and Uta Arad (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oţelul have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Uta Arad have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(away) | 1-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oţelul win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Uta Arad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Uta Arad 2-2 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Oţelul 1-0 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Oţelul 2-2 Uta Arad | Liga I |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Uta Arad 0-4 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Uta Arad 2-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Oţelul 1-1 Uta Arad | Liga I |
How many goals should we expect?
Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Uta Arad score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Uta Arad | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oţelul sit 9th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Uta Arad sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oţelul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | Uta Arad | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oţelul vs Uta Arad?
- The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Uta Arad.
- Where and when is Oţelul vs Uta Arad played?
- Oţelul vs Uta Arad is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Oţelul, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.