Match

Oţelul vs Uta Arad: prediction and stats

Liga IRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Oţelul, Galaţi

OţelulUta Arad

The Footlab AI model makes Oţelul the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Uta Arad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oţelul wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oţelul vs Uta Arad?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Oţelul (1,780) and Uta Arad (1,835).

41%26%33%
Oţelul winDrawUta Arad win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Oţelul vs Uta Arad

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Oţelul

4-3-3
  1. 9Patrick
  2. 24D. Bordun
  3. 10Andrézinho
  1. 27Pedro Nuno
  2. 17A. Ciobanu
  3. 8Rafael Brito
  1. 6P. Iacob
  2. 3G. Christopoulos
  3. 28Miguel Silva
  4. 2M. Zhelev
  1. 1C. Dur-Bozoancă

Uta Arad

4-2-3-1
  1. 9M. Coman
  1. 5S. Mino
  2. 8A. Roman
  3. 11H. Abdallah
  4. 20Denis Taroi
  5. 77J. Papeau
  1. 4A. Benga
  2. 3S. Alomeroviс
  3. 2A. Dorobanțu
  4. 15P. Ouaneh
  1. 1Márcio Rosa

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:16 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oţelul have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Uta Arad have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oţelul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026FCSB(away)0-1Liga I
Oct 3, 2026FC Bacau(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 21, 2026Corvinul Hunedoara(home)2-3Liga I
Sep 14, 2026Universitatea Cluj(away)0-3Liga I
Sep 6, 2026Rapid(home)0-1Liga I
Uta Arad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026FC Botosani(away)0-2Liga I
Sep 18, 2026Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(home)1-0Liga I
Sep 11, 2026Farul Constanta(away)2-4Liga I
Sep 5, 2026Csikszereda(home)5-1Liga I
Sep 2, 2026Minerul Lupeni(away)3-0Cupa României

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oţelul wins, 3 draws, 1 Uta Arad win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 24, 2026Uta Arad 2-2 OţelulLiga I
Apr 17, 2026Oţelul 1-0 Uta AradLiga I
Feb 20, 2026Oţelul 2-2 Uta AradLiga I
Oct 19, 2025Uta Arad 0-4 OţelulLiga I
Mar 16, 2025Uta Arad 2-0 OţelulLiga I
Dec 14, 2024Oţelul 1-1 Uta AradLiga I

Last archived meeting: Uta Arad vs Oţelul on Jul 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oţelul score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Uta Arad score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oţelul1.21.529/157/15
Uta Arad1.71.175/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oţelul sit 14th in Liga I (10 points from 11 matches) and Uta Arad sit 12th (12 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Uta Arad11335141712
14Oţelul11245111610

A question about Oţelul vs Uta Arad?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oţelul vs Uta Arad?
The Footlab AI model makes Oţelul the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Uta Arad.
Where and when is Oţelul vs Uta Arad played?
Oţelul vs Uta Arad is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Oţelul, in the Liga I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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