Oxford City vs Merthyr Town: result 1-3 and analysis
National League - NorthNorth - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Oxford City vs Merthyr Town?
Merthyr Town won 1-3 on December 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 5′A. LivermoreMerthyr Town
- 62′Lewys Morgan TwamleyMerthyr Town
- 64′603488Merthyr Town
- 87′E. ClarkOxford City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford City have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Merthyr Town have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Darlington 1883(home) | 5-1 | National League - North |
| Nov 29, 2025 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Nov 25, 2025 | AFC Telford United(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Marine(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Dec 6, 2025 | AFC Fylde(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Buxton(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Leamington(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Alfreton Town(home) | 6-2 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Oxford City score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 2.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford City | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oxford City sit 2nd in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oxford City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Merthyr Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2025Scarborough Athletic0-1Darlington 1883
- Dec 26, 2025AFC Fylde1-0Chorley
- Dec 26, 2025AFC Telford United3-1Chester
- Dec 26, 2025Hereford0-1Kidderminster Harriers
- Dec 26, 2025Curzon Ashton0-3Radcliffe
- Dec 26, 2025Worksop Town1-0Alfreton Town
- Dec 26, 2025Marine4-2Southport
- Dec 26, 2025South Shields6-0Spennymoor Town