Ozgon vs Neftchi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ozgon the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Neftchi. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,539 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ozgon vs Neftchi?
Ozgon starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,577 vs 1,461).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ozgon vs Neftchi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ozgon
Not enough data to predict the Ozgon lineup.
Neftchi
Not enough data to predict the Neftchi lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ozgon have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Neftchi have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kara-Balta(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Muras United(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Alga(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Asia Talas(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Asiagoal(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Alay(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Ilbirs(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Toktogul(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Kara-Balta(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Muras United(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Ozgon wins, 1 draw, 0 Neftchi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Neftchi 1-2 Ozgon | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Ozgon 3-2 Neftchi | Premier League |
| May 3, 2025 | Neftchi 3-3 Ozgon | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ozgon score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ozgon | 2.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Neftchi | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ozgon sit 4th in Premier League (57 points from 28 matches) and Neftchi sit 7th (42 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ozgon | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 58 | 34 | 57 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 45 | 42 |
A question about Ozgon vs Neftchi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ozgon vs Neftchi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ozgon the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Neftchi.
- Where and when is Ozgon vs Neftchi played?
- Ozgon vs Neftchi is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.