Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC: prediction and stats
Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Starlight Stadium, Victoria, British Columbia
The Footlab model makes HFX Wanderers FC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Pacific FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC?
HFX Wanderers FC starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,500).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pacific FC have 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats; HFX Wanderers FC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Forge(away) | 0-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vancouver FC(away) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | York United(home) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Supra du Quebec(home) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 2-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vancouver FC(home) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | York United(away) | 3-4 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Forge(home) | 0-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Supra du Quebec(home) | 2-3 | Canadian Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pacific FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 HFX Wanderers FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Pacific FC 1-2 HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Jun 26, 2026 | HFX Wanderers FC 5-2 Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | HFX Wanderers FC 2-2 Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | HFX Wanderers FC 3-0 Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Pacific FC 2-2 HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Pacific FC 3-2 HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pacific FC score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; HFX Wanderers FC score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific FC | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| HFX Wanderers FC | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pacific FC sit 8th in Canadian Premier League (5 points from 17 matches) and HFX Wanderers FC sit 5th (20 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | HFX Wanderers FC | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 20 |
| 8 | Pacific FC | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC?
- The Footlab model makes HFX Wanderers FC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Pacific FC.
- Where and when is Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC played?
- Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Starlight Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2026Forge2-0Atlético Ottawa
- Apr 4, 2026Vancouver FC0-1HFX Wanderers FC
- Apr 5, 2026Pacific FC1-2Cavalry FC
- Apr 11, 2026York United2-2HFX Wanderers FC
- Apr 11, 2026Pacific FC2-3Supra du Quebec
- Apr 12, 2026Cavalry FC3-1Atlético Ottawa
- Apr 12, 2026Vancouver FC0-1Forge
- Apr 18, 2026HFX Wanderers FC2-2Pacific FC