Paderborn II vs Schalke 04 II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Breite Bruch, Paderborn
The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Schalke 04 II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paderborn II vs Schalke 04 II?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Paderborn II (1,920) and Schalke 04 II (1,933).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paderborn II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Schalke 04 II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Bocholt(away) | 5-4 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paderborn II(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Meppen(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Paderborn II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Schalke 04 II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II 2-3 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Paderborn II 1-1 Schalke 04 II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Schalke 04 II 1-1 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| May 2, 2025 | Paderborn II 2-0 Schalke 04 II | Regionalliga - West |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Schalke 04 II 1-5 Paderborn II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Schalke 04 II 0-4 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Schalke 04 II vs Paderborn II on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Schalke 04 II score 2.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Schalke 04 II | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paderborn II sit 10th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 4 matches) and Schalke 04 II sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Schalke 04 II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | Paderborn II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paderborn II vs Schalke 04 II?
- The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Schalke 04 II.
- Where and when is Paderborn II vs Schalke 04 II played?
- Paderborn II vs Schalke 04 II is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Breite Bruch, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsBergisch Gladbach
- Nov 28, 2026SV RodinghausenvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Nov 28, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsBonner SC
- Nov 28, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsBochum II
- Nov 28, 2026FC BocholtvsHilden
- Nov 28, 2026WiedenbrückvsKöln II
- Nov 28, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Nov 28, 2026FC GuterslohvsSportfreunde Lotte