Borussia M'gladbach II vs Paderborn II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Grenzlandstadion, Mönchengladbach
The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Paderborn II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia M'gladbach II vs Paderborn II?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Borussia M'gladbach II (1,939) and Paderborn II (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia M'gladbach II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Paderborn II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Bocholt(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Borussia M'gladbach II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Paderborn II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paderborn II 1-3 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II 2-0 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Paderborn II 1-1 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Paderborn II 0-1 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Borussia M'gladbach II 2-1 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Paderborn II 2-4 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Paderborn II vs Borussia M'gladbach II on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia M'gladbach II score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia M'gladbach II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Paderborn II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia M'gladbach II sit 2nd in Regionalliga - West (7 points from 4 matches) and Paderborn II sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Paderborn II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia M'gladbach II vs Paderborn II?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Paderborn II.
- Where and when is Borussia M'gladbach II vs Paderborn II played?
- Borussia M'gladbach II vs Paderborn II is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Grenzlandstadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Sportfreunde LottevsRot-weiss Oberhausen
- Dec 5, 2026Bonner SCvsSV Rodinghausen
- Dec 5, 2026Bergisch GladbachvsWiedenbrück
- Dec 5, 2026Köln IIvsBorussia Dortmund II
- Dec 5, 2026Schalke 04 IIvsFC Bocholt
- Dec 5, 2026HildenvsSportfreunde Siegen
- Dec 5, 2026Westfalia RhynernvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Dec 5, 2026Bochum IIvsFC Gutersloh