Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Lotte: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Breite Bruch, Paderborn
The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Paderborn II (1,920) and Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paderborn II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sportfreunde Lotte have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Paderborn II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Paderborn II 3-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Paderborn II 1-3 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Sportfreunde Lotte 3-2 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Paderborn II 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Sportfreunde Lotte 0-0 Paderborn II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paderborn II sit 10th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 4 matches) and Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Paderborn II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
- The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Lotte played?
- Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Lotte is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Breite Bruch, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027SG Wattenscheid 09vsBorussia Dortmund II
- Apr 10, 2027Bonner SCvsWiedenbrück
- Apr 10, 2027SV RodinghausenvsBochum II
- Apr 10, 2027Borussia M'gladbach IIvsKöln II
- Apr 10, 2027Schalke 04 IIvsBergisch Gladbach
- Apr 10, 2027FC BocholtvsRot-weiss Oberhausen
- Apr 10, 2027HildenvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Apr 10, 2027Sportfreunde SiegenvsFC Gutersloh