Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II played?

Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, Lotte

Sportfreunde Lotte

Paderborn II

The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Lotte (1,874) and Paderborn II (1,917).

Sportfreunde Lotte win28 %

Draw27 %

Paderborn II win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Lotte have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Paderborn II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Lotte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Bochum II(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026	Bonner SC(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026	Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026	FC Gutersloh(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - West
Jul 18, 2026	Real Betis(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Paderborn II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Bonner SC(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - West
Aug 15, 2026	SV Rodinghausen(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026	Borussia M'gladbach II(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026	Schalke 04 II(away)	3-2	Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026	VfB Oldenburg(home)	5-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Paderborn II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	Paderborn II 3-1 Sportfreunde Lotte	Regionalliga - West
Sep 12, 2025	Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 Paderborn II	Regionalliga - West
Feb 22, 2025	Paderborn II 1-3 Sportfreunde Lotte	Regionalliga - West
Sep 1, 2024	Sportfreunde Lotte 3-2 Paderborn II	Regionalliga - West
Jan 6, 2024	Paderborn II 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 25, 2023	Sportfreunde Lotte 0-0 Paderborn II	Oberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Lotte	1.0	2.1	2	8/15	9/15
Paderborn II	1.7	1.3	3	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Paderborn II sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Paderborn II	4	1	2	1	6	7	5
16	Sportfreunde Lotte	4	0	2	2	2	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II?: The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II played?: Sportfreunde Lotte vs Paderborn II is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.