Padova vs Palermo: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padova
The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Padova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palermo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,382 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Padova vs Palermo?
Palermo starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Padova vs Palermo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 21E. Zuelli
- 8P. Fusi
- 34M. Cocchi
- 17A. Capelli
- 10G. Caprari
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Palermo
4-2-3-1- 20J. Pohjanpalo
- 8J. Segre
- 10F. Ranocchia
- 9D. Vavassori
- 17D. Johnsen
- 5A. Palumbo
- 3T. Augello
- 13M. Bani
- 32P. Ceccaroni
- 84T. Cassandro
- 14M. Fortin
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Padova have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Palermo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 4-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Padova(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Padova wins, 1 draw, 5 Palermo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo 2-1 Padova | Serie B |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Padova 0-1 Palermo | Serie B |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Palermo 1-0 Padova | Serie B |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Palermo 1-0 Padova | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Padova 0-1 Palermo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Palermo 1-1 Padova | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Palermo score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Palermo | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Padova sit 10th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Palermo sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Padova vs Palermo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Padova vs Palermo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Padova.
- Where and when is Padova vs Palermo played?
- Padova vs Palermo is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.