Palermo vs Avellino: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Avellino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palermo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palermo vs Avellino?
Palermo starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,822).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Palermo vs Avellino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Palermo
4-2-3-1- 20J. Pohjanpalo
- 8J. Segre
- 10F. Ranocchia
- 9D. Vavassori
- 17D. Johnsen
- 5A. Palumbo
- 3T. Augello
- 13M. Bani
- 32P. Ceccaroni
- 84T. Cassandro
- 14M. Fortin
Avellino
3-5-2- 10R. Russo
- 9W. Cheddira
- 27B. Moruzzi
- 39M. Besaggio
- 20M. Palumbo
- 2F. Missori
- 6L. Palmiero
- 4A. Izzo
- 56P. Enrici
- 23M. Venturi
- 50T. Martinelli
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palermo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Avellino have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 4-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Padova(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Palermo wins, 3 draws, 1 Avellino win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Avellino 1-1 Palermo | Serie B |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Palermo 2-0 Avellino | Serie B |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Avellino 2-2 Palermo | Serie B |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Avellino 1-2 Palermo | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Palermo 1-1 Avellino | Serie C - Girone C |
| May 26, 2021 | Avellino 1-0 Palermo | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Palermo score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Avellino score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Avellino | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palermo sit 1st in Serie B (16 points from 6 matches) and Avellino sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Palermo vs Avellino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palermo vs Avellino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Avellino.
- Where and when is Palermo vs Avellino played?
- Palermo vs Avellino is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renzo Barbera, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.