Pafos vs AEL: result 3-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 2, 2023 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
Full time
What was the result of Pafos vs AEL?
Pafos won 3-1 on September 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 35′E. HentyAEL
- 51′P. BočkajPafos
- 72′JairoPafos
- 89′M. NamePafos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; AEL have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2023 | Karmiotissa(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2023 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Union Berlin(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2023 | Al-Fateh(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2023 | AE Zakakiou(home) | 4-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Doxa(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Anorthosis(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Othellos(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2023 | Doxa(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pafos win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 AEL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | Pafos 1-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Nov 6, 2022 | AEL 1-3 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Pafos 1-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2021 | AEL 4-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Feb 7, 2021 | AEL 1-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Pafos 1-0 AEL | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| AEL | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pafos sit 4th in 1. Division (62 points from 36 matches) and AEL sit 8th (44 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 66 | 38 | 62 |
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy