Pafos vs AEL: result 3-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 2, 2023 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
Full time
What was the result of Pafos vs AEL?
Pafos won 3-1 on September 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 35′E. HentyAEL
- 51′P. BočkajPafos
- 72′JairoPafos
- 89′M. NamePafos
Official lineup for Pafos vs AEL
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Pafos
4-2-3-1- 10Jairo
- 11Alef Manga
- 24O. Valakari
- 7Bruno Felipe
- 25M. Name
- 30V. Dragomir
- 12P. Bočkaj
- 4J. Kvída
- 17A. Rus
- 13J. Ikoko
- 1I. Ivušić
AEL
4-2-3-1- 19E. Henty
- 17A. Mendes Moreira
- 21G. Marsh
- 7E. Andreou
- 6S. Medojević
- 14S. Srnić
- 25J. Morsay
- 23P. Filipović
- 4K. Sotiriou
- 24R. Tsouka
- 16Miguel Oliveira
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; AEL have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2023 | Karmiotissa(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2023 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Union Berlin(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2023 | Al-Fateh(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2023 | AE Zakakiou(home) | 4-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Doxa(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Anorthosis(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Othellos(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2023 | Doxa(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pafos wins, 0 draws, 2 AEL wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | Pafos 1-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Nov 6, 2022 | AEL 1-3 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Pafos 1-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2021 | AEL 4-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Feb 7, 2021 | AEL 1-0 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Pafos 1-0 AEL | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| AEL | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pafos sit 3rd in 1. Division (10 points from 5 matches) and AEL sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEL | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Pafos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
A question about Pafos vs AEL?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy