Pafos vs AEL: result 3-1 and analysis
CupSemi-finalsKick-off on April 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
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What was the result of Pafos vs AEL?
Pafos won 3-1 on April 22, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′I. MilosavljevićAEL
- 45′JajáPafos
- 58′LelêPafos
- 88′V. DragomirPafos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; AEL have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Aris(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 8, 2026 | AEL(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Enosis(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Pafos win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 AEL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | AEL 1-2 Pafos | Cup |
| Feb 15, 2026 | AEL 0-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Pafos 1-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Pafos 4-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Sep 22, 2024 | AEL 1-3 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Dec 23, 2023 | AEL 1-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| AEL | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy