Pafos vs Aris: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Aris. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pafos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pafos vs Aris?
Pafos starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (2,050 vs 1,920).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pafos vs Aris
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pafos
4-5-1- 18Lelê
- 88Pêpê Rodrigues
- 26I. Šunjić
- 30V. Dragomir
- 8Domingos Quina
- 13N. Moumi Ngamaleu
- 4David Luiz
- 14N. Ioannou
- 3S. Mmaee
- 2Yoram\t Zague
- 99R. Majecki
Aris
4-2-3-1- 11R. Effaghe
- 29D. Gaustad
- 30Gustavo Pajé
- 70C. El Allachi
- 8C. Charalampous
- 22V. Nikolić
- 27J. Badelj
- 7Anderson Correia
- 17M. Matysik
- 20S. Yago
- 91M. Zadro
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Aris have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | AEL(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Riga(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Karmiotissa(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pafos wins, 2 draws, 0 Aris wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Pafos 2-0 Aris | 1. Division |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Aris 1-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Aris 2-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Pafos 2-1 Aris | 1. Division |
| May 4, 2025 | Pafos 4-0 Aris | 1. Division |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Aris 0-1 Pafos | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aris score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Aris | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pafos sit 3rd in 1. Division (10 points from 5 matches) and Aris sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pafos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Aris | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Pafos vs Aris?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pafos vs Aris?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Aris.
- Where and when is Pafos vs Aris played?
- Pafos vs Aris is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.