Match

AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)

AEK LarnacaApollon Limassol

The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Apollon Limassol. The most likely score is 1-1. If AEK Larnaca wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate AEK Larnaca (2,046) and Apollon Limassol (1,988).

45%28%27%
AEK Larnaca winDrawApollon Limassol win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
  1. 11R. Bajić
  1. 14A. Layouni
  2. 7Gus Ledes
  3. 20J. Repas
  4. 21Miramón
  5. 9Đ. Ivanović
  1. 15H. Miličević
  2. 23S. Köhler
  3. 22G. Ekpolo
  4. 3M. van der Hoorn
  1. 92A. Paleari

Apollon Limassol

4-2-3-1
  1. 30Dani Escriche
  1. 27G. Weissbeck
  2. 23Brandon Thomas
  3. 12Gustavo Assunção
  4. 10Garry Rodrigues
  5. 77I. Ljubic
  1. 44J. Kvída
  2. 37L. Konomis
  3. 14G. Malekkides
  4. 76Bruno Gaspar
  1. 22P. Kühn

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:39 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Apollon Limassol have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AEK Larnaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Aris(away)1-11. Division
Oct 12, 2026Omonia Aradippou(home)1-01. Division
Oct 3, 2026Apollon Limassol(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 27, 2026Nea Salamis(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026Omonia 29is Maiou(away)2-11. Division
Apollon Limassol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Nea Salamis(home)4-21. Division
Oct 10, 2026Krasava Ypsonas(away)3-11. Division
Oct 3, 2026AEK Larnaca(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Apoel Nicosia(home)2-21. Division
Sep 12, 2026Omonia Nicosia(away)0-01. Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AEK Larnaca wins, 2 draws, 1 Apollon Limassol win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026AEK Larnaca 3-0 Apollon LimassolFriendlies Clubs
Jul 16, 2026Apollon Limassol 0-0 AEK LarnacaFriendlies Clubs
May 6, 2026AEK Larnaca 1-0 Apollon Limassol1. Division
Apr 5, 2026Apollon Limassol 1-1 AEK Larnaca1. Division
Feb 14, 2026AEK Larnaca 0-1 Apollon Limassol1. Division
Nov 2, 2025Apollon Limassol 1-2 AEK Larnaca1. Division

Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol on Oct 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Limassol score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AEK Larnaca1.81.139/159/15
Apollon Limassol1.91.658/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AEK Larnaca sit 2nd in 1. Division (13 points from 6 matches) and Apollon Limassol sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2AEK Larnaca641111513
3Apollon Limassol633014812

A question about AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol?
The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Apollon Limassol.
Where and when is AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol played?
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AEK Larnaca and Apollon Limassol

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