Paganese vs Reggiana: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 17, 2016 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Paganese vs Reggiana?
Paganese won 2-1 on December 17, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 3′V. CamilleriPaganese
- 32′J. KosnićPaganese (o.g.)
- 68′M. PossentiReggiana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Reggiana have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2016 | Lecce(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 6, 2016 | Siracusa(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Vibonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Akragas(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Fondi(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2016 | Feralpisalo(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 11, 2016 | Forli(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 6, 2016 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Gubbio(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Reggiana score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Reggiana | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy