Paganese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 13Kick-off on November 26, 2022 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Paganese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Paganese won 2-1 on November 26, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 18′Francesco De FelicePaganese
- 30′?Sarrabus Ogliastra
- 80′Daniele CipollaPaganese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Sarrabus Ogliastra have 6, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2022 | Cassino(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Nola 1925(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Sorrento(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Aprilia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Ilvamaddalena(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2022 | Sorrento(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Ilvamaddalena(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Nola 1925(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Arzachena(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 30, 2022 | USD Palmese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sarrabus Ogliastra score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/14 | 9/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paganese sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone G (13 points from 7 matches) and Sarrabus Ogliastra sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paganese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 13 |
| 15 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy