Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Atletico Lodigiani: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Is Arranas, Tertenia
The Footlab model makes Atletico Lodigiani the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Sarrabus Ogliastra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Atletico Lodigiani?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Sarrabus Ogliastra (1,652) and Atletico Lodigiani (1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarrabus Ogliastra have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Lodigiani have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olbia(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valmontone(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Monterotondo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Cassino(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Cassino(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Monterotondo(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Budoni(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Montespaccato(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Atletico Lodigiani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 1-3 Atletico Lodigiani | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani 2-3 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 11, 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani 1-0 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani 3-1 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 0-2 Atletico Lodigiani | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Atletico Lodigiani on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarrabus Ogliastra score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Lodigiani score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico Lodigiani | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarrabus Ogliastra sit 9th in Serie D - Girone G (46 points from 34 matches) and Atletico Lodigiani sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 51 | 46 |
| 12 | Atletico Lodigiani | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 40 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Atletico Lodigiani?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Lodigiani the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
- Where and when is Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Atletico Lodigiani played?
- Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Atletico Lodigiani is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Is Arranas, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.