Paganese vs Trastevere: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Trastevere. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paganese wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paganese vs Trastevere?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Paganese (1,786) and Trastevere (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paganese vs Trastevere
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paganese
Not enough data to predict the Paganese lineup.
Trastevere
4-4-2- 11L. Fontana
- 9L. Coccia
- 8E. Massimo
- 10D. Crescenzo
- 6P. Sabelli
- 7D. Sannipoli
- 3M. Sfanò
- 4V. Coccia
- 5V. Giordani
- 2L. Tarantino
- 1Nicolò Casagrande
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Trastevere have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ossese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Città di Anagni(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Venafro(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Monastir(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aranova(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Città di Anagni(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atletico Lodigiani(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Paganese wins, 0 draws, 0 Trastevere wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Trastevere 1-6 Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Paganese 2-1 Trastevere | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Trastevere 2-3 Paganese | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Trastevere vs Paganese on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Trastevere score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Trastevere | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paganese sit 8th in Serie D - Girone G (14 points from 10 matches) and Trastevere sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trastevere | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | Paganese | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Paganese vs Trastevere?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paganese vs Trastevere?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Trastevere.
- Where and when is Paganese vs Trastevere played?
- Paganese vs Trastevere is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Torre, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.