Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 5, 2016 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla?
Paganese and Virtus Francavilla drew 1-1 on October 5, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 70′G. ZerboPaganese
- 85′A. AlbertiniVirtus Francavilla
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Virtus Francavilla have 1, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2016 | Messina(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Monopoli(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Catanzaro(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 14, 2016 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Casertana(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2016 | Cosenza(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Matera(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Akragas(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 15, 2016 | Foggia(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Messina(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Virtus Francavilla score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
| Virtus Francavilla | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy