Paju Citizen vs Cheonan City: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Paju Public Stadium, Paju
The Footlab model makes Paju Citizen the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Cheonan City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paju Citizen vs Cheonan City?
Paju Citizen starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,505).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paju Citizen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cheonan City have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Suwon City FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(home) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Seongnam FC(away) | 2-3 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yongin City(home) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Paju Citizen win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Cheonan City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Cheonan City 0-0 Paju Citizen | K League 2 |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Paju Citizen 1-2 Cheonan City | K3 League |
| May 14, 2022 | Cheonan City 0-0 Paju Citizen | K3 League |
| Sep 15, 2021 | Paju Citizen 0-1 Cheonan City | K3 League |
| May 15, 2021 | Cheonan City 2-2 Paju Citizen | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Cheonan City vs Paju Citizen on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paju Citizen score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cheonan City score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paju Citizen | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Cheonan City | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paju Citizen sit 11th in K League 2 (25 points from 22 matches) and Cheonan City sit 14th (21 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Paju Citizen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
| 14 | Cheonan City | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 31 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paju Citizen vs Cheonan City?
- The Footlab model makes Paju Citizen the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Cheonan City.
- Where and when is Paju Citizen vs Cheonan City played?
- Paju Citizen vs Cheonan City is played on November 22, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Paju Public Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.