Yongin City vs Paju Citizen: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 34Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yongin Mireu Stadium, Yongin
The Footlab model makes Yongin City the favourite at 35%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Paju Citizen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yongin City vs Paju Citizen?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Yongin City (1,526) and Paju Citizen (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yongin City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Paju Citizen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 1-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Busan I Park(home) | 2-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cheonan City(away) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Hwaseong(home) | 0-3 | K League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Suwon City FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Yongin City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Paju Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Paju Citizen 0-1 Yongin City | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Paju Citizen vs Yongin City on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yongin City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paju Citizen score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yongin City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Paju Citizen | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yongin City sit 13th in K League 2 (22 points from 21 matches) and Paju Citizen sit 11th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Paju Citizen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
| 13 | Yongin City | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 31 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yongin City vs Paju Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Yongin City the favourite at 35%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Paju Citizen.
- Where and when is Yongin City vs Paju Citizen played?
- Yongin City vs Paju Citizen is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yongin Mireu Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.